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Capitol Insiders Predict GOP Will Retake House And Remove Pelosi As Speaker in 2022

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Nancy Pelosi just got some bad news from people who would know. Capitol Hill insiders are predicting Pelosi will not be the speaker after the 2022 election and that the GOP will retake the House.

And not just a few of these key senior capitol hill aides think this, but a solid majority believe this will come to pass. 66% of the senior aides who responded to a new questionnaire believe Pelosi is toast with a whopping 36% of Dems believing it.

The 6th Congressional District of Texas’ special election held Monday also points to the end for Pelosi. That race showed a 16% shift towards the GOP and those are numbers that, if repeated across the country, will put Pelosi out of a job in 2022.

Worse for Nancy, the Dem candidates got shut out of the general election and only secured around 36% of the vote.

The special election took place with 23 different candidates running for the seat. Republican Susan Wright, who was endorsed by former President Donald Trump and is the widow to the late Congressman Ronald Wright, got the most votes among the 23 candidates in the primary. Republican Texas State Rep. Jake Ellzey came in second and will face Wright in the general

Trump issued a statement saying, “Congratulations to Susan Wright on her great surge yesterday which made her NUMBER ONE and assured her participation in the runoff against another Republican. The Democrats have just conceded the race. Susan surged after I gave her an endorsement last week. Her wonderful husband is looking down, and is very proud of her!”

Jana Lynne Sanchez, the main Dem candidate finished in third behind two GOP candidates. The top two in the primary run in the general election no matter the party so not only did the GOP see voters shift their way, the Dems won’t even have a candidate for this seat in the general election.

A GOP election expert explained the shift: “Republicans got 61.9% of the vote totals among different candidates while Democrats got just 36.8% of the vote total among their candidates.

“Trump won this district by just 3%, Republicans outperformed him by 22% tonight, and Ron Wright’s 2020 performance by 16%. A very impressive showing, bucking most experts’ expectations for the race.”

From Punchbowl News:

Republicans will win the House: 66% of respondents say Republicans will win control of the House in 2022. More than one-third of Democrats — 36% — say the GOP will end the four-year run of Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s majority.

Democrats will keep the Senate: 66% of respondents overall say Democrats will control the Senate in 2023. Republicans are split 50-50 on who they think will hold the Senate majority. 82% of Democrats say they’ll keep control of the chamber, and 18% believe they’ll lose it.

What big issues could move? We asked about the most likely legislation to make it through the 117th Congress. 74% said infrastructure, 48% said taxes and 42% said legislation dealing with prescription drug costs. 

Areas of consensus: The top two issues where both parties agree are lowering prescription drug costs and further regulating technology companies.

What will make it into an infrastructure bill? So-called “hard” infrastructure is clearly favored. 92% of respondents say roads and bridges, 91% say high-speed broadband, 84% say airport money and 81% say water infrastructure.