President Joe Biden’s approval ratings have been flirting with historic lows for several months, and Democrats in Washington are starting to worry.
Many polls and surveys hint at a possible “red wave” in the upcoming midterm elections, partly due to the country’s apparent pushback against leftists holding sway on Capitol Hill.
But even Republicans might not have predicted such a significant swing.
According to the latest poll conducted by the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC), there are more “at-risk” Democrat incumbents than expected. And their positions are even less secure now.
The NRCC focused on districts that Biden won by only 5 points or less, to see if there’s been a shift in voter opinion.
The results are eye-opening for both parties, because it’s clear that at least some areas of the country are experiencing “buyer’s remorse.” This is reflected in current approval numbers as well.
Right now, it’s looking as if Democrats might lose even more power than they think — so by 2023, the power rankings in D.C. could be very different.
The latest poll from the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) of 77 battleground congressional districts across the country showed that the Democrats face headwinds with voters as they are being held responsible for record-high inflation, skyrocketing gas prices, and out-of-control spending.
The survey indicated that Biden’s flagging approval has helped the GOP immensely.
The generic ballot showed that voters think Democrats are “condescending” and “out of touch,” and the President’s approval rating in these battleground districts is 15 points underwater (40% approve vs. 55% disapprove).
Once again, we find independent voters swaying even further toward the Republican side, which is a critical element:
Currently, only about 30 percent of independents polled approve of Biden’s performance, and 62 percent disapprove. That’s a net loss of 34 points year-over-year.
All this means that right now, the GOP leads the generic ballot by four points, and that’s despite Biden winning battleground districts by more than 5 points in the last election.
Since February 2021, Republicans have risen 7 points in the battleground survey, as many right-wing voters cite inflation and the cost of living as reasons for pulling away from Democrats.
Overall, Republicans lead Democrats by 24% on the generic ballot in regards to cost of living, and have a 20-point lead in regards to jobs and the economy.
The overwhelming majority of participants in the poll want the GOP to fix Democrat-created crises: for example, 75% say they’re more likely to back a candidate who will lower the cost of groceries and gas.
As for the energy issue, only 23 percent say they’re against increasing oil and gas production in the U.S. (54% are “strongly in favor”). This has been a primary talking point in recent months.
Republicans hope to flip the House later this year; they need a net gain of 5 seats to make it happen. They also hope to flip the evenly split Senate, and then they set their sights on 2024.
If things haven’t improved dramatically, there appears to be a good chance that Republicans will retake control on Capitol Hill.